

Found a good "Solar Disruptions" link? Let Us Know!
Warnings of a ‘Solar Catastrophe’ in 2012 {NoWorldSystem.com} February 7, 2011:
In 2006 and 2010
NASA warned the general population to get ready for a a once-in-a-lifetime
solar storm in 2012. There was very little coverage of this in the news media,
and I highly doubt the U.S. government would make go public about this anytime
soon.
NASA 2012 Researchers say intense solar storm coming in 2012. NASA researchers announced that a storm is coming--the most intense solar maximum in fifty years that could rival the the solar storm of 1958. But just like hurricanes often do, they become far stronger then anyone expected. "Like most experts in the field, Hathaway has confidence in the conveyor belt model and agrees with Dikpati that the next solar maximum should be a doozy. But he disagrees with one point. Dikpati's forecast puts Solar Max at 2012. Hathaway believes it will arrive sooner, in 2010 or 2011." History shows that big sunspot cycles 'ramp up' faster than small ones," he says. "I expect to see the first sunspots of the next cycle appear in late 2006 or 2007--and Solar Max to be underway by 2010 or 2011." "Who's right? Time will tell. Either way, a storm is coming."
Space Weather Now - NOAA
Twenty-seven Day Outlook Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of
Commerce, NOAA, Space Environment Center, the forecast provides the daily
numbers for the 10.7cm Radio Flux, planetary A-index and Kp index.
The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) SOHO was
launched on December 2, 1995. The SOHO project is being carried out by the
European Space Agency (ESA) and the US National Aeronautics and Space
Administration (NASA) as a cooperative effort between the two agencies. The
observatory, travelling at a permanent vantage point 1.5 million kilometers
ahead of the Earth, is designed to study the internal structure of the Sun,
its extensive outer atmosphere and the origin of the solar wind, the stream
of highly ionized gas that blows continuously outward through the Solar
System. You can also get the SOHO Real-Time Images Screen-Saver (Win9x and
Macs), free for the download.
Solar
Data Analysis Center The Solar Data Analysis Center at NASA
Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, USA, has a host of
interesting items pertaining to solar observations of CMEs (coronal mass
ejections). View a VR (virtual reality) movie of the solar disc, current
solar images, and the latest information from the Solar and Heliospheric
Observatory (SOHO).
Solar Data This USA NOAA FTP site has, among other items,
annual solar flux data back to 1947. Be sure to download the 'read me' files
first, as they explain the data files within.
Solar Terrestrial Physics The US Department of Commerce's
NOAA operates the National Geophysical Data Center. The NGDC 'manages
environmental data in the fields of marine geology and geophysics,
paleoclimatology, solar-terrestrial physics, solid earth geophysics, and
glaciology (snow and ice). In each of these fields NGDC also operates a
World Data Center WDC A) discipline center.' This page is the
Solar-Terrestrial Physics Division home page, and includes links to
descriptions of the data collections. Embedded in these pages is a link to
an Introduction to the Ionosphere, well worth a read.
Space Environment Center Radio Users' Page The USA's NOAA
Space Environment Center's staff writes that the purpose of this page is 'to
provide radio operators with current data on the state of the ionosphere.'
The site includes a current photo of the sun, a forecast, a 3-day plot of
the x-ray flux and a 3-day plot of the geosynchronous satellite environment.
SpaceWeather.com This consumer-oriented site by NASA pulls
together science news and information about the Sun-Earth environment. The
latest solar disk images and news about upcoming solar disruptions make this
site worthy of a bookmark. Sign up for the free mailing list.
Sunspot Index
Data Center The SIDC pages are maintained by the Royal
Observatory of Belgium. The main task of the center is to compute and
broadcast the daily, monthly, and yearly international sunspot numbers, with
middle range predictions (up to 12 months). Graphs and tables of current and
historical data are also available.
'The end of the world' has already begun, UW scientists say In
its 4.5 billion years, Earth has evolved from its hot, violent birth to the
celebrated watery blue planet that stands out in pictures from space. But in
a new book, two noted University of Washington astrobiologists say the
planet already has begun the long process of devolving into a burned-out
cinder, eventually to be swallowed by the sun.
[PDF Link recovered 4/18/11]
Shielding grids from solar storms. Geomagnetic disturbances are a
real danger to some grids— being prepared for one requires assessment of
local conditions, as well as monitoring and warning systems
NOAA Magazine Online (Story 131) The impacts and costs associated
with meteorological storms occurring on the Earth’s surface are obvious, but
what about those associated with space weather? Solar or geomagnetic storms
— just like hurricanes, tornadoes, hail and floods — can cause damage
resulting in hundreds of millions of dollars in economic losses each year.
Scientists worry about solar superstorm Californians have long
been bracing for the "big one" in terms of an earthquake. But the sun lobs
flares that are the most violent events in the solar system. A large flare
releases a million times more energy than the largest earthquake.
Solar Storms Space weather generally varies with the 11-year
sunspot cycle: the more sunspots, the more storms and the more voluminous
the "solar wind," as scientists call the stream of charged particles that
incessantly blows off the face of the sun. Already, we are well on the way
to the next solar maximum, expected to peak next year (2000).
Solar Storms and You: Human Impacts Perhaps the most dramatic,
recent impact occurred in March 1989 during the peak of the last sunspot
cycle, when the sun produced one of the most powerful storms ever recorded.
On March 13, 1989 Alaskan and Scandinavian observers were treated to a
spectacular auroral display. In fact, this display was seen as far south as
the Mediterranean and Japan. Although many millions of people marveled at
this beautiful spectacle, many millions more were not so happy about it.
Hydro-Quebec on Saint James Bay did the best it could to stabilize the power
surges its lines received but ultimately failed the challenge. For 9 hours,
large portions of Quebec were plunged into darkness.
Scientists calculate odds of doomsday scenarios for the
solar ... The alternative to eventual
incineration is being thrown out of the solar system into deep space. “The
surface biosphere would rapidly shut down and oceans would freeze solid
within one million years, but life could continue for some time near
hydrothermal vents on the ocean floor, which are warmed by radioactive heat
from deep within the Earth,” says Laughlin, a postdoctoral fellow at the
University of California, Berkeley.
Solar Superstorm
Newly uncovered scientific data of recorded history's most massive space
storm is helping a NASA scientist investigate its intensity and the
probability that what occurred on Earth and in the heavens almost a
century-and-a-half ago could happen again...
Solar Terrestrial Activity Report -- Jan
Alvestad-DXLC
Disruptions From Sun’s Geomagnetic Storms Forecast With "Cat-Scan ...
Three-dimensional images of magnetic storms from the Sun, developed by
physicists at the University of California, San Diego and Japan's Nagoya
University, are allowing space-weather forecasters to improve their
predictions of solar disruptions on cycle.
Solar In a worst-case scenario, they say solar storms could knock
out all high-frequency radio on the sunlit side of the Earth or expose
airplane passengers in northern latitudes (near the North Pole) to the
equivalent of 100 chest X-rays. However, space weather forecasters admit
their knowledge is too crude to predict exactly when the Earth will feel the
effects of the solar max.
A Twisted Solar Eruptive Prominence This 'Astronomy
Picture of the Day' is an animated GIF of a 30-minute eruption that is
twisted and forms a 'hook' capable of 10 Earths. We've never seen anything
like it. Other links on the page take you to other images and background
material, including an animation of the entire sun take at the same time. We
believe the date was 8 Jan 2000, judging by the filenames.
Auroral Activity Extrapolated from NOAA/POES Instruments on
board the NOAA Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite (POES)
continually monitor the power flux carried by the protons and electrons that
produce aurora in the atmosphere." Northern and Southern pole maps show the
breadth of the current auroral zone, especially interesting to watch when
there are solar disturbances.
Coronal Mass Ejection Arrival Prediction: More Accurate Space Storm
Warnings Now Possible 'The arrival of billion-ton
electrified-gas clouds from the Sun that cause severe space storms can now
be predicted to within a half-day, a great improvement over the best
previous estimates of within 2 - 5 days. Scientists at the Catholic
University of America, Washington, D.C., and NASA's Goddard Space Flight
Center, Greenbelt, Md., have created a model that reliably predicts how much
time it takes for these clouds, called Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), to
traverse the gulf between the Sun and the Earth, based on their initial
speed from the Sun and their interaction with the solar wind.
Eruptive Prominence (APOD: 8 July 1999) Everyone reading these
pages knows that solar disturbances affect radio propagation, particularly
in the HF bands. On the NASA Astronomy Picture of the Day (APOD) Web site
there was a fantastic picture of an immense solar prominence. The orbiting
SOHO laboratory took the photo. Have a look. We've not seen anything like
this photo before. It is quite striking.
Geophysical Alert Can't hear WWV (Colorado) or WWVH
(Hawaii)? Here's the announcement that airs at H+18 on WWV and H+45 on WWVH.
This is updated every three hours in step with the on-air announcements,
usually available by H+05.
"Gentle" puffs of solar wind stir the Northern Lights With
a team of three satellites, scientists now can make before-and-after
measurements of the solar wind. Wind and the Advanced Composition Explorer,
circling in a halo orbit about 1 million km sunward of Earth, measure the
solar wind, moving at 300 to 600 km/s (up to 1.3 million mph), about 10 to
60 minutes before it is disturbed by the magnetosphere. Imagers aboard
Polar, orbiting around the Earth's north and south poles, provide TV
pictures of the aurora borealis." Fascinating reading and the auroral images
from spaces are spectacular.
New NOAA Space Weather Scales Make Solar Max Effects More Predictable
Akin to the Richter scales of earthquake intensity measurement on Earth,
NOAA has derived new measurement techniques 'designed to characterize the
severity and impact of upcoming solar storms on public safety and services.
IPS Radio
& Space Services IPS is a unit of the Australian Government
Department of Administrative Services and provides the Australian radio
propagation and space environment services. IPS offers HF radio prediction
services, daily solar terrestrial reports, and data to drive its commercial
propagation software.
SOHO Sees Right Through The Sun To Find Stormy Regions On The Other Side
Scientists have figured out how to use 'ripples' on the sun's surface,
seen with the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, to observe disturbances on
the side of the sun away from earth. This provides at least a week's notice
of pending problems. Interesting stuff indeed.
SOHO spies the far side of the Sun Scientists have found
they can peek around the other side of the sun. "SWAN, short for Solar Wind
Anisotropies, is a telescope on board
SOHO
Solar and Heliospheric Observatory that can map the whole sky in
ultraviolet light. This kind of observation is impossible from Earth because
the atmosphere completely filters short-wavelength UV rays." This discovery
could help to predict the solar storms that sometimes affect the Earth. And
there is a fascinating MPG-format movie that shows what SWAN found.
Solar Activity Heats Up On 28 August 1999, a massive solar
flare, accompanied by a coronal mass ejection (CME), erupted on the sun.
NASA Space Science News released a story with photos and animated GIF
images, warning about possible auroral displays. Though this occurrence is
past tense, do take a look at the story for the graphical content. The CME
photo series (as an animated GIF) is quite striking. Now you can see what
Mike Bird is talking about!
The Sun's Sizzling Corona Scientists are now unraveling a
130-year old mystery of the corona, identifying a new element seen within
the corona. But one answer leads to more questions as improved scientific
tools allow research of the "glow" around around the solar disk.
Surfing Magnetic Waves in the Solar Atmosphere: How the Solar Wind Gets
Up to Speed "The high-speed portion of the solar wind
achieves its unexpectedly high velocity -- up to 500 miles per second -- by
"surfing" magnetic waves in the Sun's outer atmosphere, according to
observations made by two spacecraft. For 37 years, solar scientists have
been puzzled by the fact that the high-speed solar wind travels twice as
fast as predicted by theory. Observations and theoretical analyses have
discovered a surprising explanation for this mystery:" rapidly vibrating
magnetic fields within the corona that form magnetic waves appear to
accelerate the solar wind.
The Sun's Dark Secret: How Sunspots Pull Themselves Together
Using data gathered from instruments aboard SOHO, new research provides
a look at sunspots beneath the surface of the sun. It is a technique akin to
ultrasound in today's healthcare system. Fascinating stuff, and there are
some animated illustrations to help explain the the concepts
Transition Region And Coronal Explorer (TRACE) TRACE
enables solar physicists to study the connections between fine-scale
magnetic fields and the associated plasma structures on the Sun in a
quantitative way by observing the photosphere, transition region, and
corona... The launch schedule allows joint observations with SoHO during the
rising phase of the solar cycle to sunspot maximum. No transition region or
coronal imager has witnessed the onset and rise of a solar cycle. The two
satellites provide complementary observations: TRACE produces the high
spatial and temporal resolution images, while SoHO yields images and
spectral data out to 30 solar radii at much lower spatial and temporal
resolution. A database of information is available.
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