Found a good "Future US Civil War" link? Let Us Know!

I can't believe that no one is writing articles on the possibility of future civil wars in America! Because of the popularity of the 1860's American Civil War, it's extremely difficult to find relevant links. If you stumble across one - PLEASE LET US KNOW! Here are the very few articles that we could find...

Predicting Global Revolutions, Civil Wars and Riots By Russ Winter 04/14/2011: Every 10 percent increase in global food prices equates to a 100 percent increase in anti-government protests, according to a recent report from the International Monetary Fund. Looking at recent increases in foodstuff commodities — up a total of 45 percent since the arrival of QE2 last year — it’s no wonder there are revolutions, civil wars and riots breaking out across the globe. According to the IMF, a 45-percent increase in foodstuffs should quadruple the levels of unrest, and that seems to be precisely what’s happening.

Is North America preparing for civil war? On U.S. Soil. ~ Washington Post; Monday, December 1, 2008: The U.S. military expects to have 20,000 uniformed troops inside the United States by 2011 trained to help state and local officials respond to a nuclear terrorist attack or other domestic catastrophe, according to Pentagon officials.

The Philosophical Cause of the next Civil War This liberal article, entitled "Liberalism and the post-union future: The goal should be to do away with employer-based benefits in favor of universal social insurance programs" is indicative of the great divide between social conservatives (self-reliant people who work and want to keep what they get in return for their labors) and the molly-coddlers that want a nanny-state ruled by lawyers and union representatives... it is rapidly becoming a William W. Johnstone universe, here in America and I, for one, would prefer the Tri-States philosophy.

Book Review: The Next American Civil War The pushback against the all-encompassing state has its roots deep in the American tradition. Liberal elites hold themselves above reproach as they mock America, pass judgment on loyal Americans, and disparage American foreign policy and history, while smugly embracing the loftier principles of transnationalism, world government, and secular humanism. This deep divide between the liberal elite and American patriots and the revolt it has fostered is the basis for Lee Harris’ latest book, The Next American Civil War. With an in-depth historical and philosophical perspective found in his previous work, The Suicide of Reason, the author examines this critical juncture in American history and offers some back-to-basics advice on preserving our unprecedented spirit of liberty and exceptional national character.

Glenn Beck plots out our dystopian future, run by militias ~ By David Neiwert February 28, 2009 07:45 AM : This article will seriously anger most SSRsi viewers. It is included because it is illustrative of the two factions I believe are most likely to comprise the opposing forces in any future civil war - the Citizens who produce, versus those who take or "redistribute" the product of those who produce. The author is an obvious "progressive" liberal who uses abusive and derogatory "humor" to attack Beck. He then wraps up with a remarkable bit of clairvoyance: "These people are not just "predicting" this kind of future. They actually are hoping it comes about. That's both creepy and scary." It is precisely this type of liberal cajoling that will, in my opinion, hasten the division of factions and bring it to a head.

2nd US Civil War Begins !! 23 Mar 2010 We are now involved in the Second American Civil War. We might not realize it but I think we are. Unlike the 1st American Civil War, this 2nd Civil War is nonviolent, at present. This 2nd Civil War has been brewing for a long, long time, way before the American Socialist POTUS Barack Hussein Obama came to power. But, I think it all came to a head this past Sunday, March 21, 2010 with the ramming through Congress of the healthcare SCAM (and let’s call it for what it is, that is, Socialist Medicine).

History's End: The Second American Civil War-Part Two This leads me to the true topic of this series: the possibility of a future Civil War in the United States. This is something that has been covered before, particularly by James Davidson Hunter, in his book Before the Shooting Begins. For a review of that book try this. So I am not broaching new ground here. However, I do feel that it is a subject that receives insufficient attention, and that is something that I intend to correct. I will try and determine what the chances of a new Civil War are, as well as its scope and potential for destruction. I will also try and determine who might be the two or more different sides in this conflict, as that is something that isn't necessarily clear at first sight.

American Civil War in 2010, Russian Academic Says Russian academic Igor Panarin has been pondering the future of the U.S. for about a decade now, predicting the disintegration of our country and the next Civil War. Mark your calendars: it’s slated for 2010!

Future History: The Second American Civil War ~ from the Alternate History Discussion Board > Finished Timelines and Scenarios: Reads like a fictional internet novel, in a timeline format.

From The Times: February 14, 2007 ~ BNP candidate who feared civil war ‘had hoarded explosives’ by Andrew Norfolk: A former election candidate for the British National Party built a stockpile of explosive chemicals in preparation for a future civil war, a court was told yesterday. Robert Cottage, a self-proclaimed Christian, “held strong views on immigration” and had become convinced that a forthcoming war would lead to the creation of a new world order.

Will America have another civil war in the future? Many say it will never happen, but I think that the possibilty still exists. Especially if the government gets too big for its pants. All it would take is a change in the constitution. If they start taking away our rights, then there would be a massive rebellion.

The Future of the Ideological Civil War Within the West Nearly a year before the September 11 attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, wire service stories gave us a preview of the transnational politics of the future. It was reported on October 24, 2000, that in preparation for the UN Conference Against Racism, about 50 American nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) sent a formal letter to UN Human Rights Commissioner Mary Robinson calling on the UN “to hold the United States accountable for the intractable and persistent problem of discrimination” that “men and women of color face at the hands of the US criminal justice system” (Goodman, 2000). Also available here as a pdf file

LDS PERSPECTIVE - Second Civil War (AKA Cleansing of America) & Local Gatherings: This is for subject Second Civil War (AKA Cleansing of America) & Local Gatherings. To see the original post, index to other posts and explanation of the collection go here.

Forget About Civil War In Iraq, One Is Coming To America ~ We can either deal with the illegal immigration problem now as described above or we will certainly deal with open civil war in the very near future. The American people better decide right now which it will be, because time is running out for Congress to be able to fix the problem. Once that happens, we won't have to worry about civil war in Iraq, it will happen right here in the United States.

Grim Futures–Second American Civil War This is a Multiverser setting, an alternate reality, for role-playing gaming. It depicts a possible horrible future that even as we enjoy playing in, we can all hope never comes to past. Interesting discussion.

USA [PDF] The United States has had no civil war in the post WWII period. This absence of a civil war onset is consistent with our statistical model, which predicts that it would have been very unlikely for the United States to have suffered from a civil war. In fact, given the mean probability for a civil war in the U.S., a civil war would be a once in 425-year event. Despite its large population and above average percentage of mountainous terrain, the United States’ high GDP per capita, lack of oil exportation, and stable institutions kept the U.S.’s predicted probability of civil war below the world average for the entire post WWII period, and below the regional average for the period 1945 – 1999.

Global Citizen 2000 - Civil Wars But surely civil war in the United States is unthinkable? Not at all-it has happened at least twice in our history, during the American Revolution, when roughly as many people supported the British as the American cause, as well as our own Civil War. More recently, during the 1960s some of us can remember American troops being sent into American cities to end rioting and civil disorders. Triggers as diverse as electrical power blackouts and police shootings routinely trigger large-scale violence every year.

Causes of world's civil wars misunderstood, researchers say: 9/02 According to conventional thinking, the end of the Cold War helped unleash a spate of civil conflicts among ethnic groups whose simmering animosities had been stifled by superpower hegemony. It was commonly accepted that ethnic and religious diversity made countries more prone to civil war, and it was believed that conflicts could be predicted to break out in areas with the strongest ethnic or political grievances. But research on the causes of civil wars by political scientists David Laitin and James Fearon refutes these popular theories.

Coming Civil Wars in Europe? » Outside The Beltway | OTB Will Collier and Stephen Green, reacting to reports of rising tides of Muslim immigrants in Western Europe, envision some worst-case scenarios...

The Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation Civil war and related concepts such as state failure have traditionally been studied at the level of nation states, where the nation states are either “at war” or not, and treated as phenomena to be explained by state-level characteristics. A cursory glance at actual civil wars, however, reveals that violence rarely engulfs entire states, but typically occurs within a confined area, leaving other areas within the same state at relative peace.

How To Cause A Civil War In America - Above Top Secret Conspiracy ... Discussion about How To Cause A Civil War In America in the Above Top Secret website discussion forum

Military Doctrine and Counterinsurgency: A British Perspective by GAVIN BULLOCH; From Parameters, Summer 1996, pp. 4-16.: The experience of numerous "small wars" has provided the British army with a unique insight into this demanding form of conflict. Service in Northern Ireland has given the present generation of soldiers their main firsthand source of basic experience at the tactical level, but this also tends to constrain military thinking on the subject because of the national context and political connotations. There are of course many lessons to be learned because of the similarities between the campaign in Northern Ireland, which is designated as Military Aid to the Civil Authorities (MACA)[1] and those counterinsurgency campaigns which may be conducted elsewhere. But there are also significant differences. Tactics such as jungle patrolling and convoy anti-ambush drills--which from the perspective of Northern Ireland seem to be relics of a colonial past--may be very relevant in a different operational setting... (pdf) [Link recovered 4/14/11 - now hosted on site!]

1800's MORMON PROPHECIES ABOUT US & FUTURE CIVIL WARS ...what about the American nation. [The past Civil War] was nothing, compared to that which will eventually devastate [America]. ...Do you wish me to describe it? I will do so. It will be a war of neighborhood against neighborhood, city against city, town against town, county against county, state against state, and they will go forth, destroying and being destroyed and manufacturing will, in a great measure, cease, for a time among the American nation. Why? Because in these terrible wars, they will not be privileged to manufacture, there will be too much bloodshed, too much mobocracy, too much going forth in bands and destroying and pillaging the land to suffer people to pursue any local vocation with any degree of safety...

American Civil Defense Association, The Nonprofit association wants citizens to prepare themselves for disasters. Read about its mission and membership.

Speculations On The Causes Of The "Culture Wars" A personal essay in hypertext by Scott Bidstrup. Even a casual observer of the American culture cannot help but be impressed by the increasing degree of polarization not only of American politics, but of cultural values and even lifestyles and attitudes. There seems to be an endless array of conflict - not just minor differences of opinion, but major conflict - even resulting in violence and murder. The results seem to be applauded or abhorred - depending on whose side you are on. The outcome of this conflict could not be more important - it is nothing less than the survival of Western civilization. This is because the roots of this conflict run far deeper than most people realize, and its consequences far more serious.

Civil Wars This is a subscription publication, but you can get a Free Sample Copy. The journal has a broad academic and intellectual remit designed to be both multi and interdisciplinary. Civil Wars brings together academic pieces on all aspects of civil wars, including pieces on key topics such as why state building can degenerate into civil war, how ethnic conflict turns into civil war, the ethics of intervention and the resource implications of such conflicts but also welcomes historical work on conflicts such as the US, Spanish or Chinese civil wars. Attention is also paid to the questions of why civil wars prove so intractable.

Social, economic and political change This site list links to information about long term changes in political, economic and social systems at the national and international level. This site links to sites with data, theory, research, course syllabi, and other useful information. The site also includes my review of theories of change (in progress).

What Do We Know About Natural Resources and Civil War ... [PDF] by Michael Ross. Since the late 1990s there has been a flood of research on natural resources and civil war. I review 14 recent cross-national econometric studies, and many qualitative studies, that cast light on the relationship between natural resources and civil war. I suggest that collectively they imply four underlying regularities: first, oil increases the likelihood of conflict, particularly separatist conflict; second, “lootable” commodities like gemstones and drugs do not make conflict more likely to begin, but they tend to lengthen existing conflicts; third, there is no apparent link between legal agricultural commodities and civil war; and finally, the association between primary commodities – a broad category that includes both oil and agricultural goods – and the onset of civil war is not robust. In the first section I discuss the evidence for these four regularities, and examine some theoretical arguments that could explain them. In the second section I suggest that some of the remaining inconsistencies among the econometric studies may be caused by differences in the ways they code civil wars, and cope with missing data. In the third and final section highlight some further aspects of the resource-civil war relationship that remain poorly-understood.

Civil Wars Research By James C. Murdoch and Todd Sandler
"Economic Growth, Civil Wars, and Spatial Spillovers." (This is the Journal of Conflict Resolution version.) (ZIP file)
"Economic Growth, Civil Wars, and Spatial Spillovers: Version 1." (This is the version that is referenced in the Journal of Conflict Resolution article.) (ZIP file)
Table A.1. Civil War Raw Data. (Word document)
Table A.2. Preliminary Model 1 Regressions. (Word document)
Table A.3. Regressions. Fixed-Effects Estimates of the Six-Period Model. (Word document)
Table 5. Model 3 Regressions. Fixed-Effects Estimates of the Six-Period Model. (Word document)

ETHNICITY, POLITICAL SYSTEMS AND CIVIL WARS[PDF] This paper analyzes the effect of ethnic division on civil war and the role of political systems in preventing these conflicts. First we show the importance of religious polarization and animist diversity in explaining the incidence of ethnic civil war. We find that religious differences are a social cleavage more important than linguistic differences when we analyze the development of a civil war. Second we find that being a consociational democracies significantly reduces the incidence of ethnic civil war. (pdf) [Link recovered 4/14/11 - now hosted on site!]

AlternateHistory.com Discussion Board - Future Civil Wars in the West

WE ARE GOING TO WAR - ON AMERICAN SOIL ~ by Never Surrender, Sunday, January 18, 2009, 18:20 They are boldly admitting what is coming. Weird little article, badly written but interesting.

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